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PRESIDENT
NYT / Siena College Poll: Respondents Want Change
Pollsters asked respondents whether they wanted "a major change from President Biden" in the latest national New York Times / Siena College survey.
A total of 61% of the respondents said they do want major change, while a majority said that Donald Trump is the candidate who best "represents major change in this election" (by a margin of 53-25%).
However, on the ballot test, Trump's national lead was only two percentage points, and
Vice President Kamala Harris leads in most other national polls.
Nevada: Kennedy On, Greens Off
The key state of Nevada won't let Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. off the state ballot, and it won't put the Green Party on.
The state Supreme Court has ruled that Mr. Kennedy made his decision too late to be removed from the ballot after qualifying, while the Green Party did not meet the legal requirements. Both decisions appear to help Kamala Harris.
Ironically, the Nevada Democratic Party sued to have Kennedy removed before the candidate petitioned to strike his name. Therefore, it is possible the Nevada Democrats feel that Kennedy's presence on the ballot actually helps Donald Trump.
SENATE
Ohio: Movement Toward Moreno, Good News for Trump
For the first time since Emerson College's late January poll, a survey for The Hill found Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) leading businessman Bernie Moreno (R) by only two points (46-44%).
Since late January, Sen. Brown averaged a five-point advantage, holding it for eight months. But the gap is now being closed.
Former President Trump maintains a strong lead in Ohio, according to all polls. This current Emerson survey finds him leading Vice President Harris, 54-45%.
GOVERNOR
Virginia: Lt. Governor Announces for 2025 Race
Virginia's Lt. Governor Winsome Sears (R) officially announced her 2025 gubernatorial candidacy, late last week. This comes as no surprise to political observers. It is most likely that she and US Rep. Abigail Spanberger (D-Glen Allen), who appears to be unopposed for the Democratic nomination, will square off in the 2025 general election.
Though Gov. Glenn Youngkin (R) currently enjoys favorable approval ratings, the state's voting history suggests that Ms. Spanberger will be considered the favorite to win the impending statewide race.
Attorney General Jason Miyares (R) has not ruled out joining the race after the 2024
elections, but it is doubtful that he would challenge Ms. Sears. He will more than likely seek re-election as AG.
Though Virginia limits its governors to one term, the only state to do so, its other
constitutional offices of Lt. Governor and Attorney General have no such limit. Incumbents in the other offices have no limitation on how many terms they may serve.
Editor's note: For resources on political action, including a downloadable Voter's Guide for Authentic Catholics provided by the Souls and Liberty Action Network, click here.
Jim Ellis is a 35-year veteran of politics at the state and national levels. He has served ss executive director for two national political action committees, as well as a consultant to the three national Republican Party organizations in DC, the National Federation of Independent Business, and various national conservative groups.
Born and raised in Sacramento, California, he earned a B. A. in Political Science from the University of California at Davis in 1979. Jim raised his daughter, Jacqueline, alone after his wife died following a tragic car accident. He helped establish the Joan Ellis Victims Assistance Network in Rochester, NH. Jim also is a member of the Northern Virginia Football Officials Association, which officiates high school games throughout the region.
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