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PRESIDENT
Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.: New York Disqualification
A New York judge has disqualified Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. from appearing on the New York election ballot, ruling the address the candidate used in his submission documentation is not valid.
This is yet another blow to Kennedy's flailing campaign, and further underscores the difficult road any non-major party contender is forced to traverse just to obtain ballot access in all 50 states.
Kennedy not appearing on the New York ballot will have little effect upon the final results. As we know, the Empire State is one of the Democratic strongholds, and Kamala Harris will have little trouble in capturing the domain's 28 electoral votes.
Kennedy has qualified for the ballot in 16 states, including three that appear to be highly-competitive: Michigan, New Mexico and North Carolina.
Green Party: On Ballot in Nevada
A Nevada judge has ruled against the Nevada Democratic Party's lawsuit that would have disqualified the Green Party from being on the state's 2024 ballot.
The judicial order means that Green Party candidate Jill Stein will be on the Silver State ballot, which Democrats obviously believe will hurt Kamala Harris. According to the national Green Party, the entity has secured a 2024 ballot line in 21 states, and Stein will appear on four more ballots as an Independent.
The party leadership is actively petitioning, or awaiting, certification in an additional 18 states.
SENATE
North Dakota: Dem Poll Finds Sen. Cramer Well Up
A just-released Lake Partners Research survey of the North Dakota Senate race – the first published poll since mid-June – sees movement toward the Democratic candidate while still yielding Sen. Kevin Cramer (R) a double-digit lead.
The ballot test finds the Senator's lead at 51-38%. The previously-released poll, from Public Opinion Strategies, projected Sen. Cramer's lead at 37 points. Very likely, the ultimate outcome will fall somewhere in between these two surveys.
Look for Sen. Cramer to easily win re-election to a second six-year term in a state that the FiveThirtyEight data organization rates as R+37.
UT-2: Recount Finally Yields Winner
Seven weeks after the Utah primary, a winner has finally been determined in the state's 2nd Congressional District. Businessman Colby Jenkins (R) yesterday conceded the race to Rep. Celeste Maloy (R-Cedar City), ending a counting period that continued to drag onward.
The final vote count saw the two candidates separated by just 176 votes, which is still enough for Maloy to clinch her renomination bid. She is now a strong favorite to win a full term in the general election against Democratic nominee Nathaniel Woodward, an attorney.
The FiveThirtyEight data organization rates UT-2 as R+23. The Daily Kos Elections statisticians rank the seat as the 81st most vulnerable in the House Republican Conference.
Jim Ellis is a 35-year veteran of politics at the state and national levels. He has served ss executive director for two national political action committees, as well as a consultant to the three national Republican Party organizations in DC, the National Federation of Independent Business, and various national conservative groups.
Born and raised in Sacramento, California, he earned a B. A. in Political Science from the University of California at Davis in 1979. Jim raised his daughter, Jacqueline, alone after his wife died following a tragic car accident. He helped establish the Joan Ellis Victims Assistance Network in Rochester, NH. Jim also is a member of the Northern Virginia Football Officials Association, which officiates high school games throughout the region.
Once again the Wisconsin Republican Party falls on it's face and looses two referendum. Also Karn-illa and Baldwin ads everywhere Almost all you tube music starts with a Karn-illa ad.
At least the two WISN radio never Trumpers are falling in line. Begrudgingly!